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Summary of the last 12 hours in crypto world

This report synthesizes information from various crypto discussions, focusing on market movements, project developments, and emerging narratives. A significant theme is the recent market volatility, with substantial long liquidations across major cryptocurrencies like BTC and DOGE, impacting traders and whales. Despite this downturn, there's ongoing discussion about the evolution of Real World Assets (RWAs), with a specific focus on collectibles and TCG gacha as a potentially more accessible retail-oriented RWA compared to institutional-focused offerings. The report also touches upon the importance of protocol simplicity for trustless systems, the growing influence of prediction markets, and regulatory considerations surrounding stablecoin usage in high-risk environments.

Emerging and ongoing project activities include updates on prediction markets and their integration into broader DeFi infrastructure. There's also a notable mention of new projects in areas like robotics, AI, and prediction markets, signaling continued innovation. The ongoing discourse around the "trenches" or the creator economy in crypto highlights concerns about extractive launchpad models and the potential for scams, while also acknowledging that some opportunities may still exist for those who manage expectations. The market is also being monitored for specific on-chain activities, such as whale movements and large trades, offering potential insights into market sentiment and short-term price action.

In terms of news and developments, the report notes Vitalik Buterin's emphasis on protocol simplicity for Ethereum's long-term security and sustainability. A recap of key events in the past week includes public sales, new listings, and prediction market launches. Regulatory attention is drawn to the Kontigo case, which scrutinizes USDC usage and compliance within the Venezuelan financial system, raising questions about navigating sanctions in complex environments. Furthermore, there's discussion around the increasing institutional entry into prediction markets, suggesting their evolution into critical on-chain infrastructure for various financial applications.

### News and Developments

* **Protocol Simplicity for Trustlessness:** Vitalik Buterin advocates for protocol simplicity in Ethereum development to ensure trustlessness, self-sovereignty, and long-term security, warning against complexity that can lead to user dependency. He calls for active simplification and "garbage collection" to prevent bloat and build a sustainable protocol. * Source: [https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2012819160426807639](https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2012819160426807639)

* **Weekly Crypto Recap (January 12-18, 2025):** This period saw public sales, new listings, and prediction market launches, alongside significant industry developments. * Promo Codes and Referral Links: * [ethgas.com/community/gas-report?referral=TA2UD5W](https://www.ethgas.com/community/gas-report?referral=TA2UD5W) * [tradegenius.com/ref/XLS3QQ](https://tradegenius.com/ref/XLS3QQ) * [probable.markets/?ref=FHZAF2ME](https://probable.markets/?ref=FHZAF2ME) * Mentioned Tokens: $GWEI, $SPACE, $FOGO, $TRIA, $NYC, $POL

* **Polymarket's Growth and Prediction Market Evolution:** Research suggests Polymarket's best growth path, with prediction markets evolving into on-chain infrastructure for options, insurance, governance, and AI-driven trading. The sector is now valued over $600M, with institutions increasingly entering the space. * Messari: (Note: Telegram link in source, direct link to article not provided in dump). * Delphi Digital: [https://x.com/Delphi_Digital/status/2012907009515856162](https://x.com/Delphi_Digital/status/2012907009515856162)

* **Kontigo Case and USDC Compliance:** The U.S. startup Kontigo, operating in Venezuela, uses USDC for currency conversion and value storage. The case raises questions about compliance and sanctions intersection, particularly in complex, high-risk financial environments. * Source: [fintechbusinessweekly.substack.com/p/kontigo-ycombinators-venezuela-sanctions](https://fintechbusinessweekly.substack.com/p/kontigo-ycombinators-venezuela-sanctions)

* **Trove Markets Token Launch on Solana:** Trove Markets announced a token launch on the Solana network. * [https://x.com/trovemarkets/status/2012213627391037898](https://x.com/trovemarkets/status/2012213627391037898)

* **Yield Basis Hybrid Vault:** Yield Basis introduced its Hybrid Vault, aimed at scaling and preserving $crvUSD stability. * [https://x.com/yieldbasis/status/2012551597943881819](https://x.com/yieldbasis/status/2012551597943881819)

* **$300M LTC & BTC Theft Swapped to Monero:** ZachXBT revealed a theft totaling $300 million in Litecoin and Bitcoin, which were subsequently swapped to Monero. * [https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2012212936735912351](https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2012212936735912351)

* **Initial Listing Next Week:** Projects including Acurast, Summerfi, Seeker, Sentient, and Immunefi are scheduled for initial listings within the next seven days.

* **ETH Staking Stats Updated:** The `/staking` command on @CoinTrendzBot has been updated to track entry and exit queues and provide essential Ethereum staking statistics. * @CoinTrendzBot

* **AI for Robotics:** An article discusses the introduction of AI for robotics. * [https://www.prismax.ai/blog/intro-to-ai-for-robotics](https://www.prismax.ai/blog/intro-to-ai-for-robotics)

### Degen Alpha

* **Cyberpunk RWA: Collectibles as a Viable RWA:** While Real World Assets (RWAs) are booming, retail access remains limited. Collectibles via TCG gacha are highlighted as a potentially successful retail RWA, leveraging cultural popularity and liquid markets. On-chain verifiable odds, instant buybacks, and redemption are seen as improvements over physical alternatives. * TCG Gacha dApps: [https://x.com/playkamiapp](https://x.com/playkamiapp) * Source Tweet: [https://x.com/samoyedscribes/status/2012886797098045550?s=20](https://x.com/samoyedscribes/status/2012886797098045550?s=20)

* **New Project Mentions:** * **Variance:** A prediction market project. * X/Twitter: [https://x.com/VarianceMarkets](https://x.com/VarianceMarkets) * **Arch:** A robotics project. * X/Twitter: [https://x.com/Arch_Robotics](https://x.com/Arch_Robotics) * **Nebula AI:** An AI project. * X/Twitter: [https://x.com/NebulaAI](https://x.com/NebulaAI) * Website: [http://nebula.gg/](http://nebula.gg/) * **Primal:** A project with unstated focus in the dump. * X/Twitter: [https://x.com/primal](https://x.com/primal) * **Surge AI:** A project anticipated to bring new offerings to the space, potentially in virtuals or larger scale. * X/Twitter: [https://x.com/i/status/2012981040340476152](https://x.com/i/status/2012981040340476152)

* **Fwog.fun and PerpetualCow Narrative:** A narrative emerged around Fwog.fun and contributor PerpetualCow, involving the launch and subsequent tanking of a memecoin ($COW) and another memecoin ($FROG), causing confusion and losses. ZachXBT previously posted about PerpetualCow. * PerpetualCow Article: [https://x.com/PerpetualCow/status/2011868101839597878](https://x.com/PerpetualCow/status/2011868101839597878) * $FROG Launch Post: [https://x.com/PerpetualCow/status/2012897624756461905](https://x.com/PerpetualCow/status/2012897624756461905) * Clarification Post: [https://x.com/PerpetualCow/status/2012907153946771962](https://x.com/PerpetualCow/status/2012907153946771962) * ZachXBT Post: [https://x.com/zachxbt/status/1998731979823436242](https://x.com/zachxbt/status/1998731979823436242)

* **Potential Shitcoin Mention:** A message mentioned adding to a "shitcoin" with a contract address: `G2dJVAF27n4xBGjftmrpTydiUGb5eCjferW3KDRubonk`, with anticipation of upcoming plans from the CTO.

### Patterns and Insights

* **RWA Accessibility Divide:** A clear distinction is observed between institutional-focused RWAs with high barriers to entry and the potential for more retail-friendly RWA implementations, such as collectible tokenization through gacha mechanics. The success of these mechanics is tied to established cultural IPs and their liquid nature.

* **The "Trenches" Meta Concerns:** Discussions around the creator economy ("trenches") highlight a concerning pattern of new launchpads emerging primarily to farm fees. There's a recurring issue of unofficial tokens being launched, leading to confusion and losses, with a critique that this mirrors similar problematic cycles seen previously. Tokens with high supply control (over 80%) are noted as being the only ones with a chance to pump.

* **Market Volatility and Liquidations:** The data shows significant market volatility, with substantial long liquidations across major cryptocurrencies like BTC, DOGE, ETH, and WBTC, indicating sharp price corrections. This has led to considerable losses for traders holding long positions. * Total Liquidations (24h): $34.47M (Long: $20.83M, Short: $13.63M) * Largest Liqs (24h): ETHUSDT ($652.54K), IPUSDT ($408.35K), ETHUSDT ($264.17K) on Binance. * Recent Large Long Liquidations: * BTCUSDT: $2.82M @ $93,908 * DOGEUSDT: $1.66M @ $0.127 * BTCUSDT: $1.92M @ $92,827 * DOGEUSDT: $1.21M @ $0.123 * BTCUSDT: $1.11M @ $92,309 * Coinglass: [https://www.coinglass.com/liquidations](https://www.coinglass.com/liquidations)

* **Whale Activity and Market Impact:** Specific whale transactions are being tracked, indicating significant movements that can influence market dynamics. Examples include: * A newly created wallet withdrawing 10,057 $ETH ($33.68M) from Binance, staking it on Lido, and then borrowing USDT on Aave to buy more stETH. * Debank: [https://debank.com/profile/0x81d0ac9a5f91188074fd753a03885162bec74246](https://debank.com/profile/0x81d0ac9a5f91188074fd753a03885162bec74246) * A whale depositing 20,466 $SOL ($2.83M) back into Kraken after a significant unrealized loss due to SOL's price drop. * Arkham Explorer: [https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/Ci8jH5enxMiMg3CPi72AvBJtf846FrurBuH5UJHkE3X3](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/Ci8jH5enxMiMg3CPi72AvBJtf846FrurBuH5UJHkE3X3) * The gambler 0xD835, who had substantial profits from shorting ETH, opened a large short position on BTC. * Lookonchain X Post: [https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2011990361208709367](https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2011990361208709367) * Whale activity for ARPA/USDT (Buy), MAV/USDT (Sell), WBTC/USDT (Sell), PAXG/USDT (Buy), ASTER/USDT (Sell), ZRO/USDT (Sell), HYPER/USDT (Sell), F/USDT (Buy), LSK/USDT (Sell).

* **Privacy and Encryption Concerns:** A discussion arose regarding the privacy and encryption capabilities of messaging platforms, with specific criticisms leveled against Telegram's track record and broader doubts about the existence of true privacy in the digital age.

* **Trading Ideas and Market Sentiment:** * A trading idea suggested a pullback for BTCUSDT to $93K support before a return to the bullish trend. * Tradingview: [https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/O6KNAKf0-BTCUSDT-Pullback-To-93K-Support-Before-Return-of-Bullish-Trend/](https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/O6KNAKf0-BTCUSDT-Pullback-To-93K-Support-Before-Return-of-Bullish-Trend/) * RSI indicators showed TRX as overbought (4h: 70.04) and DOGE, XRP, SOL, ADA as oversold (4h). * Crypto sentiment for the day was reported as Neutral (49/100).

* **$TRUMP Team Wallet Activity:** A wallet associated with the $TRUMP team deposited 381K $TRUMP ($2M) into Binance. * Arkham Explorer: [https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/D4zZSuXpy32cUKohQ5nRiP2qJ6f1VZXjfNNtB6Qk2zzF](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/D4zZSuXpy32cUKohQ5nRiP2qJ6f1VZXjfNNtB6Qk2zzF)

* **Aster DEX Automated Buybacks:** Aster DEX has initiated automated buybacks for $ASTER using 20-40% of daily platform fees from a Strategic Buyback Reserve, with initial repurchases visible on-chain. * Source: [https://twitter.com/Aster_DEX/status/2013056107108089859](https://twitter.com/Aster_DEX/status/2013056107108089859)

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### Disclaimer

This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.END_OF_STREAM