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Summary of the last 12 hours in crypto world

This report synthesizes information from various cryptocurrency discussions, focusing on market activity, notable news, and potential trading insights. The data highlights significant whale movements in tokens like MBL, WIN, AAVE, ADX, ADA, BAT, LUMIA, and WLFI, with both buying and selling pressure observed across different assets on Binance. Several major cryptocurrencies, including ETH, SOL, ADA, WSTETH, XRP, DOGE, and BTC, are noted to be in RSI oversold conditions on a 4-hour timeframe, suggesting potential short-term buying opportunities.

A significant piece of news revolves around an alleged crypto theft involving John Daghita, who is reportedly the son of the CEO of CMDSS, a company contracted by the US government to handle seized crypto. This development, highlighted by ZachXBT, raises serious concerns about the integrity of crypto asset management within governmental frameworks. Additionally, a substantial liquidation of approximately $2.88M worth of ETH for trader Machi(@machibigbrother) due to market downturns was reported, bringing his total losses close to $25M. The overall market sentiment is indicated as "Extreme Fear" with a score of 25/100.

The discussions also touch upon broader market trends and trading strategies. There's a mention of a "Crypto Bill Delayed" and a broader market trend of "Small Caps Notch Longest Win Streak Over S&P 500 Since 1996." A strategy suggestion for managing long positions during market downturns involves using major cryptocurrencies like ETH as a short hedge. Furthermore, the report flags upcoming events for January 25th - February 8th, 2026, including sales, Token Generation Events (TGEs), airdrop snapshots, project updates, and token unlocks for various tokens. An incident of a hack on Aperture resulting in $4 million drained was also reported.

### News and Developments

**Alleged $40M US Government Crypto Theft and Conflict of Interest**

* **Details:** John Daghita is alleged to have stolen over $40 million in crypto from US government seized wallets. ZachXBT's investigation suggests Daghita is the son of the CEO of CMDSS, a company that was awarded a contract by the US government to manage and dispose of seized crypto assets. * **Source:** * [ZachXBT X/Twitter Post](https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2015430549846777964?s=20) * [ZachXBT X/Twitter Post](https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2015191641552715788?s=20) * [ZachXBT X/Twitter Post](https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2015430549846777964)

**Machi's Significant Liquidations**

* **Details:** Due to market downturns, Machi (@machibigbrother) has reportedly been liquidated for another 1,000 $ETH ($2.88M). His total losses are now approaching $25 million. His current position is 3,750 $ETH ($10.84M) with a liquidation price of $2,858.32. * **Source:** * [Hyperliquid Trade History](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/tradeHistory/0x020ca66c30bec2c4fe3861a94e4db4a498a35872)

**Aperture Hack**

* **Details:** Aperture has reportedly been hacked, with $4 million drained. * **Source:** * [Blockaid X/Twitter Post](https://x.com/blockaid_/status/2015490998248284463)

**Whale Activity and Liquidation Reports**

* **ETH/USDT Liquidations:** Significant long liquidations have been reported for ETH/USDT on Binance: * $15.23M at $2,840 * $2.76M at $2,840 * $7.21M at $2,802 * $12.13M at $2,786 * **SOL/USDT Liquidation:** A long liquidation of $1.95M at $120.43 for SOL/USDT on Binance was reported. * **Total Liquidations (24h):** $64.11M in total liquidations, with $49.02M in longs and $15.08M in shorts. Top liquidations include XPLUSDT ($584.43K), ASTERUSDT ($453.40K), and BTCUSDT ($426.51K) on Binance. * **#BitcoinOG(1011short) Position:** The $779M BTC/ETH/SOL long position of #BitcoinOG(1011short) is under pressure, with a $20M USDC addition to Hyperliquid for margin. PnL has collapsed from over $140M to $9.28M in a week. This trader also appears to be looping ETH longs, withdrawing ETH from Binance to Aave and then borrowing USDC. * [Hyperdash Trader Link](https://legacy.hyperdash.com/trader/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae) * [ARKM Explorer (ETH Long Loop)](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xcA08371f6e9204Dd6927dcc2dB5504EA062b2998) * [Lookonchain X/Twitter Post](https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2015587954190889201) * **Whale Buys ETH:** OTC Whale (0xFB7) bought another 20K $ETH ($56.13M) in the past 6 hours, bringing total purchases to 70,013 $ETH ($203.6M) over the last 5 days. * [ARKM Explorer](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xFB78AA8F38843629e89951D9db6FdC398d75e0A3) * [Lookonchain X/Twitter Post](https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2014499559586857425) * **Ethereum OG Whale Deposits to Gemini:** An Ethereum OG whale wallet (0xb5Ab), possibly linked to Bitfinex, deposited 50K $ETH ($145.25M) into Gemini after 9 years of dormancy. * [ARKM Explorer](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xb5Ab08D153218C1A6a5318B14eeb92DF0Fb168D6) * **"Buy High, Sell Low" Whale:** A whale (0x3c9E) panic-sold 5,500 $ETH ($16.02M) at $2,912 over 3 days, after buying 2,000 $ETH ($5.97M) at $2,984 just 5 days prior. * [Lookonchain X/Twitter Post](https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2013543018914292119) * **WLFI Rotation:** WLFI (@worldlibertyfi) is reportedly rotating from $BTC into $ETH, swapping 93.77 $WBTC ($8.08M) for 2,868 $ETH. * [ARKM Explorer](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xEe7f7f53F0D0c8c56A38e97c5a58E4d321A174dC)

**Macro and Market Outlook**

* **The Week Ahead:** A detailed outlook for the week of January 26th, 2026, includes potential BTC purchases by Saylor, Yen intervention possibility, Do Kwon trial, India-EU Free Trade Agreement, a joint SEC-CFTC event on crypto, economic data releases, earnings reports (STX, ASML, MSFT, META, TESLA, IBM, Apple), and potential US government shutdown. The crypto market structure bill is also mentioned as potentially delayed. * [Infinity Hedge Substack](https://infinityhedge.substack.com/p/the-7-days-e6a) * **Gold Price:** Gold hit $5,000.

**Project and Token Specific News**

* **Kinetex/Swaps.io Concern:** There are user concerns about the inactivity of Kinetex/Swaps.io, with a "dead" Discord and no X posts in three months. * **Upcoming Events (January 25 - February 8, 2026):** * Sale: $FT * TGE: $INX, $ZAMA, $RNBW * Airdrop snapshot: $TRIA * Project updates: $LIDO, Coinbase * Tokens unlock: $BGB, $SUI * [Source](https://coindar.org/en/event/bitget-token-bgb-tokens-unlock-131584) (BGB Token Unlock) * [Source](https://coindar.org/en/event/rainbow-rnbw-snapshot-139885) (RNBW Snapshot) * **Tomorrow's Events (January 26, 2026):** * BGB: Tokens Unlock - [Link](https://coindar.org/en/event/bitget-token-bgb-tokens-unlock-131584) * LMTS: Reward Distribution - [Link](https://coindar.org/en/event/limitless-lmts-reward-distribution-139044) * SNS: Live Stream on YouTube - [Link](https://coindar.org/en/event/solana-name-service-sns-live-stream-on-youtube-139503) * MEZO: MEZO Token Allocation - [Link](https://coindar.org/en/event/mezo-mezo-mezo-token-allocation-139932) * ALEO: Community Call - [Link](https://coindar.org/en/event/aleo-aleo-community-call-139908) * ILV: Community Call - [Link](https://coindar.org/en/event/illuvium-ilv-community-call-139940) * RNBW: Snapshot - [Link](https://coindar.org/en/event/rainbow-rnbw-snapshot-139885)

### Degen Alpha

**New Token Mentions & Airdrops**

* **FT (Sale):** Mentioned as part of upcoming sales. * **INX (TGE):** Scheduled for Token Generation Event. * **ZAMA (TGE):** Scheduled for Token Generation Event. * **RNBW (TGE/Snapshot):** Scheduled for Token Generation Event and snapshot. * **TRIA (Airdrop Snapshot):** Airdrop snapshot scheduled.

**Potential and Risks**

* No specific degen alpha tokens with contract addresses or direct trading links were provided in the dump. The focus was on upcoming events related to sales, TGEs, and airdrops.

### Patterns and Insights

**Market Trends and Sentiment**

* **RSI Oversold Conditions:** Multiple major cryptocurrencies, including #ETH (RSI: 29.87), #SOL (RSI: 29.52), #ADA (RSI: 29.66), #WSTETH (RSI: 29.89), #XRP (RSI: 28.56), #DOGE (RSI: 29.57), and #BTC (RSI: 29.30), are showing RSI oversold signals on a 4-hour timeframe. This could indicate potential short-term buying opportunities or continued downward pressure. * **Whale Activity Dominates:** Significant whale buying and selling activities are being closely monitored across various tokens on Binance, suggesting that large players are actively managing their positions amidst market fluctuations. * **"Buy High, Sell Low" Pattern:** The behavior of whale 0x3c9E, who recently bought ETH at a higher price and then panic-sold at a lower price, exemplifies a common "buy high, sell low" pattern observed in volatile markets. * **Long Liquidation Events:** A recurring theme is the reporting of large long liquidations on ETH and SOL, indicating forced selling due to leveraged positions being unable to withstand market drops. This often exacerbates downward price movements. * **Hedge Strategy:** A trading strategy suggested involves holding a short position on a major asset like ETH to hedge overall long exposure, especially when market sentiment turns bearish. This aims to mitigate losses from existing long positions by profiting from potential downturns. * **Evolving Use Cases for LLMs:** Discussions around Large Language Models (LLMs) suggest their application is expanding beyond basic automation to include document modification, database management, and even "vibe coding," though questions remain about their true effectiveness in critical tasks like email management. * **Risk Transfer and Insurance:** The concept of risk transfer and insurance for crypto vaults is being discussed as a mechanism to facilitate capital inflow into the space, highlighting a need for enhanced security and risk management protocols. * **Declining Meme Coin Longevity:** The observation that "memes not lasting anymore in this market" and a "low attention span in the space rn" suggests a shift towards more fundamental or narrative-driven assets, or a market that is quickly moving through hype cycles. * **"Private Data Scam" Concerns:** A sentiment of concern is expressed regarding a "private data scam," drawing parallels to past social media data misuse, and suggesting that new products might be disguised versions of these issues. * **Market Sentiment:** The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is currently at 25, indicating "Extreme Fear" in the market.

**Unique Insights**

* **The "Cage" Metaphor:** A metaphor of being in "the cage" is used to describe the typical trader's mindset, characterized by loss aversion and difficulty in adapting to market shifts. The advice is to overcome this and "prove it" by staying resilient and believing in one's convictions. * **Risk Market for Vaults:** The dynamic nature of risk profiles in crypto is expected to lead to interesting and volatile risk markets for investment vaults. * **Interconnectedness of DeFi and Traditional Finance:** The discussion around potential insurance for vaults hints at the increasing integration and need for traditional finance concepts like insurance within decentralized finance.

### Disclaimer

This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.