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Summary of the last 12 hours in crypto world

## Crypto Market Insights: January 25-26, 2026

This report synthesizes key information from recent cryptocurrency discussions, focusing on market movements, notable news, and emerging trends. The period saw significant whale activity across several tokens, with notable buying and selling pressure influencing prices. Major cryptocurrencies like ETH and SOL experienced substantial long liquidations, indicating heightened market volatility. Regulatory scrutiny and an investigation into a significant crypto theft were also prominent news items.

The market sentiment appears to be leaning towards "Extreme Fear" as per a sentiment index, coinciding with considerable liquidations across both long and short positions. This suggests a cautious or potentially bearish short-term outlook among traders. Despite the downturn, there are signals of potential opportunities, with some tokens showing oversold conditions on the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI).

Several upcoming events, including token unlocks, TGEs (Token Generation Events), and airdrop snapshots, are slated for the near future, which could impact market dynamics. Furthermore, a detailed outlook for the upcoming week highlights significant macroeconomic events, potential regulatory discussions, and corporate earnings that may indirectly influence the crypto market.

### News and Developments

**Investigation into Alleged $40M Crypto Theft:** * Investigator ZachXBT reported on John Daghita, who is alleged to have stolen over $40 million in cryptocurrency from US government seizure wallets. ZachXBT claims Daghita's father is the CEO of CMDSS, a company contracted by the US government to handle seized crypto assets. * **Source:** [ZachXBT X Post](https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2015430549846777964?s=20)

**Aperture Hacked:** * There are reports of Aperture being hacked, with approximately $4 million drained. * **Report:** [Blockaid+ X Post](https://x.com/blockaid_/status/2015490998248284463)

**Market Liquidations:** * **Total Liquidations (24h):** $64.11M total, with $49.02M in long liquidations and $15.08M in short liquidations. * **Largest Liquidations (24h):** * XPLUSDT [Binance]: $584.43K at $0.120 (Long) * ASTERUSDT [Binance]: $453.40K at $0.611 (Long) * BTCUSDT [Binance]: $426.51K at $88,086 (Long) * **ETHUSDT Liquidations:** * $15.23M sold at $2,840 (Long) * $2.76M sold at $2,840 (Long) * $7.21M sold at $2,802 (Long) * $12.13M sold at $2,786 (Long) * **SOLUSDT Liquidation:** * $1.95M sold at $120.43 (Long)

**Whale Activity:** * **BANANA/USDT [Binance]:** Significant sell activity observed with 10.75K BANANA sold for 75,936 USDT. * **COMP/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales bought 2.07K COMP for 50,821 USDT. * **MBL/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales bought 54.8M MBL for 73,232 USDT. * **WIN/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales bought 533.74M WIN for 14,600 USDT. * **AAVE/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales bought 1.34K AAVE for 203,290 USDT. * **ADX/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales sold 216.51K ADX for 19,915 USDT. * **ADA/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales sold 2.12M ADA for 736,712 USDT. * **BAT/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales bought 520.42K BAT for 87,325 USDT. * **WLFI/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales sold 3.93M WLFI for 675,357 USDT. * **LUMIA/USDT [Binance]:** Big whales sold 349.09K LUMIA for 34,186 USDT.

**Institutional and Trader Activities:** * **Machi (@machibigbrother) Liquidation:** Machi was liquidated for another 1,000 ETH ($2.88M) due to market drops, bringing his total losses near $25M. His current position is 3,750 ETH ($10.84M) with a liquidation price of $2,858.32. * **Trade History:** [Hyperliquid](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/tradeHistory/0x020ca66c30bec2c4fe3861a94e4db4a498a35872) * **#BitcoinOG (1011short) Pressure:** The large long position of #BitcoinOG (1011short) valued at $779M in BTC/ETH/SOL is under significant pressure. He added 20M USDC to Hyperliquid to shore up margin, and his PnL has collapsed from $140M+ to $9.28M in a week. * **Trader Profile:** [Hyperdash](https://legacy.hyperdash.com/trader/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae) * **#BitcoinOG Looping ETH Longs:** The same #BitcoinOG appears to be looping ETH longs. A new wallet withdrew 61K ETH ($174.3M) from Binance into Aave, borrowed 60M USDC, and sent it back to Binance. * **Wallet Explorer:** [arkm.com](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xcA08371f6e9204Dd6927dcc2dB5504EA062b2998) * **Analysis:** [Lookonchain X Post](https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2015587954190889201) * **WLFI Rotating from WBTC to ETH:** WLFI (@worldlibertyfi) swapped 93.77 WBTC ($8.08M) for 2,868 ETH. * **Transaction Explorer:** [arkm.com](https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xEe7f7f53F0D0c8c56A38e97c5a58E4d321A174dC) * **Whale 0x3c9E "Buy High, Sell Low":** This whale panic-sold 5,500 ETH ($16.02M) at $2,912 over three days, after buying 2,000 ETH ($5.97M) at $2,984 just five days prior. * **Analysis:** [Lookonchain X Post](https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2013543018914292119)

**Regulatory and Macroeconomic News:** * **SEC-CFTC Joint Event:** The SEC and CFTC are scheduled to hold a joint event on the crypto era. * **Crypto Market Structure Bill:** A hearing for the Senate Agriculture Committee on its version of the crypto market structure bill may be delayed due to a snowstorm. The crypto bill in general has been delayed, likely until late February or March. * **US Government Funding:** There is a 75% probability of a US government shutdown as funding runs out. * **Fed Meeting:** The FOMC meeting is expected to leave rates unchanged, with focus on the timing of the next rate cut. Economists anticipate no rate cuts until June. * **Samsung and Intel:** Samsung increased NAND flash memory prices by 100% in Q1 2026 due to supply constraints, while Intel shares fell after struggling to meet AI-driven demand for datacenter chips. * **Weekly Outlook:** [infinityhedge Substack](https://infinityhedge.substack.com/p/the-7-days-e6a)

### Degen Alpha

* **Upcoming Events:** * **January 25 – February 8, 2026:** * Sale: $FT * TGE: $INX, $ZAMA, $RNBW * Airdrop snapshot: $TRIA * Project updates: $LIDO, Coinbase * Token unlocks: $BGB, $SUI * **January 26, 2026:** * BGB: Token Unlock ([coindar.org](https://coindar.org/en/event/bitget-token-bgb-tokens-unlock-131584)) * LMTS: Reward Distribution ([coindar.org](https://coindar.org/en/event/limitless-lmts-reward-distribution-139044)) * SNS: Live Stream on YouTube ([coindar.org](https://coindar.org/en/event/solana-name-service-sns-live-stream-on-youtube-139503)) * MEZO: Token Allocation ([coindar.org](https://coindar.org/en/event/mezo-mezo-mezo-token-allocation-139932)) * ALEO: Community Call ([coindar.org](https://coindar.org/en/event/aleo-aleo-community-call-139908)) * ILV: Community Call ([coindar.org](https://coindar.org/en/event/illuvium-ilv-community-call-139940)) * RNBW: Snapshot ([coindar.org](https://coindar.org/en/event/rainbow-rnbw-snapshot-139885))

### Patterns and Insights

* **RSI Oversold Alerts:** Several major cryptocurrencies have hit oversold conditions on the 4-hour RSI, suggesting a potential for short-term price recovery. This includes: * ETH (RSI: 29.87) * SOL (RSI: 29.52) * ADA (RSI: 29.66) * WSTETH (RSI: 29.89) * XRP (RSI: 28.56) * DOGE (RSI: 29.57) * BTC (RSI: 29.30) * BNB (RSI: 29.73)

* **Market Volatility and Hedging:** The current market chop and significant liquidations highlight the inherent volatility. A trading strategy suggested involves maintaining a hedge by not holding long positions on all three majors (BTC/ETH/SOL) simultaneously, allowing for short positions on one of them to offset potential market downturns. This strategy aims to mitigate losses stemming from loss aversion bias.

* **"Buy High, Sell Low" Behavior:** The case of whale 0x3c9E exemplifies a common pitfall where traders, perhaps driven by FOMO or emotional decisions, buy at peaks and sell during dips, leading to consistent losses.

* **Meme Coin Short Attention Spans:** The observation that "memes not lasting anymore in this market" and the low attention span of participants suggest that short-term, opportunistic trading of meme coins might be the dominant strategy, with profits needing to be taken quickly and capital redeployed.

* **Over-Shilling Concerns:** A sentiment was expressed against excessive "overpushing/overshilling" of coins, with the belief that successful projects will gain traction based on market alignment rather than aggressive promotion by individuals or small groups. The narrative emphasizes having the conviction to "keep bag working and push what you believe in" rather than following the herd.

* **AI and Data Products:** Discussions touched upon the utility of AI, with potential applications in document/database modification and coding assistance. One user is building a data product for prediction market participants focused on adverse selection, offering early API access.

* **Risk Transfer and Insurance:** The concept of risk transfer and insurance for crypto vaults was discussed as a potential mechanism for managing capital inflow and mitigating risks associated with smart contract interactions.

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**Disclaimer:** This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.